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Lviv: is it still alive?


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1 hour ago, baron-pierreIV said:

It's a show for the eastern third of the country with high ethnic Russian citizens.  

Its also a show of Putin saying "dont join NATO" to Ukraine, but that seems a pretty steep price just to do that.

I assume theyll all pack up again and show up again next year the exact same way, and itll be an annual tradition.  

Putin isnt going to do anything.  He knows full well a Ukraine invasion cost will be too severe.  That's how you get Iran levels of inflation due to SWIFT being cut off.  That and more "Cargo 200" being sent home in zinc coffins.

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On 11/24/2021 at 10:02 PM, iceman530 said:

Why Ukraine’s Olympic bid could be a very smart move - Atlantic Council

Here's a pretty good read by the Atlantic Council discussing some of the positives about a Lviv winter olympics

Hey Lviv could still be a candidate for 2030 . . . as part of the Russian Federation. Putin gets a true double - Lviv 2030 and St. Petersburg 2036

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On 1/24/2022 at 10:16 PM, StefanMUC said:

Seriously, Lviv (and Western Ukraine) is and never was of interest for Putin. He wants strategic access to the sea/Crimea and the Donbass resources. 
 

At most, he‘d break Ukraine in two and leave Western Ukraine with a puppet regime.

Thats a hell of an "at most".  Its the worst case "what if" threat (splitting country in two, land bridge not just to crimea, but to the Moldovan border including Odessa).  I do ultimately think this is brinkmanship on Russia's part, but obviously its enough of a nut check to make Ukraine a nonstarter for the foreseeable future.

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On 1/26/2022 at 3:15 PM, iceman530 said:

Thats a hell of an "at most".  Its the worst case "what if" threat (splitting country in two, land bridge not just to crimea, but to the Moldovan border including Odessa).  I do ultimately think this is brinkmanship on Russia's part, but obviously its enough of a nut check to make Ukraine a nonstarter for the foreseeable future.

The U.S. Embassy is drawing down personnel and advising Americans to leave as soon as possible. This is much more than simple brinkmanship.

If Russia wants to occupy all of Ukraine they are more than capable.

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