Jump to content

Climate change threatens future Winter Olympics venues


Recommended Posts

Memorable host cities for the Winter Olympics wouldn’t have a snowball’s chance of reliably hosting a Games in the next few decades amid climate change, according to a new report.


At the rate the Earth continues to heat up, only six of the last 19 Winter Olympics locations would be cold enough by the end of this century to stage the Games, the joint Canadian-Austrian study says.



A new joint study from Canadian and Austrian researchers says that amid climate change, only 11 of the previous 19 sites for Winter Olympics could host the Games in the coming decades. (Srdjan Zivulovic/Reuters)


Sochi, which hosts next month's Games in Russia, would not have made the cut by around 2050.


“We went from all 19 cities being ‘climate reliable’ today, even Vancouver and Sochi, to going down to 11 of them,” said Waterloo Prof. Daniel Scott, lead author of the study and Canada Research Chair in Change and Global Tourism. “The number was almost cut in half by mid-century.”


The research was conducted by the University of Waterloo and Austria’s Management Centre Innsbruck.


Based on conservative climate models, 2010 host city Vancouver would not even have the proper climate to welcome winter sporting events by the midway point of this century. California's Squaw Valley, chosen for the 1960 Winter Olympics, will likewise probably be too warm by the 2050s to deliver the kind of natural ice and snow used for alpine and other winter sporting events.


“Weather has challenged the Winter Olympics for years,” Scott said. “Unfortunately, under the warmer scenarios, far fewer places that have hosted the games in the past would still be able to do so.”


Climate change: 2013 ranked 4th warmest year

Extreme El Nino weather to double in frequency, study says

World temperatures go off the chart by 2047, study says

Scientists predict that average February temperatures in past Winter Olympic locations are expected to climb as much as 2.1 C by 2050. By the last half of the century, temperatures will be up 2.7 to 4.4 C.


CBC Sochi Winter Olympics 2014


Read more of CBC's full Winter Olympics coverage


The only "climate reliable" cities by the 2080s onwards would be Calgary, France's Albertville, Italy's Cortina d'Ampezzo, Switzerland's St. Moritz, Japan's Sapporo and Salt Lake City in the U.S.


Scott said global warming is threatening “the cultural legacy of the world’s celebration of winter sport” as organizers scramble for technological solutions.


“They’ve put in different things to try to manage weather risks — moving things indoors, refrigerating luge tracks, putting in snow-making,” he said. “It has limits. We saw the limits at the Vancouver Games. It was too warm to even make the snow.”


Too warm for snow-making


Other internationally renowned sites such as France's Chamonix, which hosted in the first Winter Olympics in 1924, and Grenoble, which hosted in 1968, would not have had appropriate climates for outdoor winter events by 2050, according to the report.


Up until four years ago, 19 previous host cities would have confidently been able to set the stage for the Winter Games, based on climates from 1981 and onward.


But the researchers say that within the next four decades, the only climatically suitable host cities are likely to be:


Albertville, France (1992)

Calgary (1988)

Cortina d'Ampezzo, Italy (1956)

St. Moritz (1948)

Salt Lake City, U.S. (2002)

Sapporo, Japan (1972)

Lake Placid, U.S. (1980)

Lillehammer, Norway (1994)

Nagano, Japan (1998)

Turin, Italy (2006)

Innsbruck, Austria (1976)


Beyond losing prospective winter venues, Scott said athletics will also suffer from a warmer planet.


'Under the warmer scenarios, far fewer places that have hosted the games in the past would still be able to do so.'

- Daniel Scott, University of Waterloo

“If you can't host a Winter Games in a certain area, odds are your winter sports participation is going to decline as well,” he said. “How many people are going to be engaged in skiing or other sports if fewer places in the world have alpine skiing programs?”


The study used two indicators to determine whether a city was climate reliable, climatically high risk, or not climatically reliable for outdoor sports competitions.


The first temperature-dependent indicator was a location’s ability to maintain at least 30 cm of snowpack, the threshold for smooth skiing terrain. The second indicator was based on daily minimum temperatures at the main competition elevation for ideal ice and snow conditions.


Last April, a delegation of 75 Olympic medallists urged U.S. president Barack Obama to take action on climate change.


"As professional athletes representing a community of 23 million winter sports enthusiasts, we are witnessing climate change first-hand,” the group wrote in a letter. “Last year was the warmest year on record, and once again, we’re currently experiencing another winter season of inconsistent snow and questionable extremes. Without a doubt, winter is in trouble."


hi-olympics-graphic.jpg



Link to post
Share on other sites

hahahahaha people are still trying to push the global warming scam global warming is not happening the world is getting colder by the way the world is really going we could even see snow in Barcelona by mid century it was snowing hard in Egypt and Israel this year we could even see Lebanon winter games.

Link to post
Share on other sites

I am not sure why I am bothering but;

A comprehensive study of a scientific literature (peer-reviewed science articles) found that 97% of all published scientific literature is in support of anthropogenic climate change. http://iopscience.iop.org/1748-9326/8/2/024024/article

There is absolutely no debate within the scientific community that climate change is real, it is happening and it is having devastating impacts on the global climate. But of course, we have one cold winter and all of sudden, yet http://www.cbc.ca/news/technology/climate-change-2013-ranked-4th-warmest-year-1.2505077

Link to post
Share on other sites
Based on conservative climate models, 2010 host city Vancouver would not even have the proper climate to welcome winter sporting events by the midway point of this century.

oh so that's what happened in Vancouver

Link to post
Share on other sites

hahahahaha people are still trying to push the global warming scam global warming is not happening the world is getting colder by the way the world is really going we could even see snow in Barcelona by mid century it was snowing hard in Egypt and Israel this year we could even see Lebanon winter games.

You really are keen on providing evidence that you don't have a clue about any subject you're discussing.

It is not unusual for any of those places you mentioned to have snow. And Lebanon has skiing resorts AFAIK, but believe what you want.

  • Like 1
Link to post
Share on other sites

GCL is entitled to his opinion. I don't completely disagree. I am more of a climate change skeptic than a denier. It is extremely presumptuous for climatologists/scientists to claim that we are solely responsible for climate change when any scientific data from beyond a few hundreds years ago is dicey at best. If science can prove 100% the warming (and resultant localised cooling) is not part of a natural cycle then lets see that data. Sure the changes may be sped up by our interference - however it is extremely dangerous to draw such a definite conclusion either way without proper proof. Guess work at best. How do we know an ice age doesn't start with inverted warmer weather patterns? How do we know that the years between 200BC and 300BC didn't have a similar climate event?

Link to post
Share on other sites

GCL is entitled to his opinion. I don't completely disagree. I am more of a climate change skeptic than a denier. It is extremely presumptuous for climatologists/scientists to claim that we are solely responsible for climate change when any scientific data from beyond a few hundreds years ago is dicey at best. If science can prove 100% the warming (and resultant localised cooling) is not part of a natural cycle then lets see that data. Sure the changes may be sped up by our interference - however it is extremely dangerous to draw such a definite conclusion either way without proper proof. Guess work at best. How do we know an ice age doesn't start with inverted warmer weather patterns? How do we know that the years between 200BC and 300BC didn't have a similar climate event?

Now in your case your opinion is respectable and has reasonable arguments to argue. The problem with GCL is the series of consecutive perrogatives without any logical sense.

Link to post
Share on other sites

GCL is entitled to his opinion. I don't completely disagree. I am more of a climate change skeptic than a denier. It is extremely presumptuous for climatologists/scientists to claim that we are solely responsible for climate change when any scientific data from beyond a few hundreds years ago is dicey at best. If science can prove 100% the warming (and resultant localised cooling) is not part of a natural cycle then lets see that data. Sure the changes may be sped up by our interference - however it is extremely dangerous to draw such a definite conclusion either way without proper proof. Guess work at best. How do we know an ice age doesn't start with inverted warmer weather patterns? How do we know that the years between 200BC and 300BC didn't have a similar climate event?

Everyone is entitled to their opinion, but not their own facts. The Earth has been in a warming trend for thousands of years now, ever since the end of the last Ice Age about 10,000 YBP. The rate at which the Earth is warming now, is not consistent with the rate at which it was warming before the Industrial Age began. There has been hot and cold patches over the course of those 10,000 years, but they are linked to significant irregularities in the primary climatic driver (the Sun) or extensive volcanic activity. I mean there is the Medieval Warm Period (where viticulture reached as far north as England) and the Little Ice Age, but we are at a point where temperatures are above the MWP by statistically significant margins without more energy coming from the Sun. That is what is different this time compared to historical climatic data (which despite your misconceptions is remarkably accurate based on the principle of Uniformitarianism). There are no additional inputs of energy from a natural source. The release of unimaginable amounts of stored energy over the last 250 years has been the only additional input into the system over that time, exacerbating the Green House Effect (notice this is not a theory or a hypothesis). We know through 1000's of years of data (ice cores, tree rings, soil cores) climate is linked to atmospheric CO2 levels. We are releasing CO2 to the point where atmospheric CO2 is above levels not seen for 10's of thousands of years when the Earth was much warmer.

Oh and you do not 'prove' things in science. That is math. The sciences provided observations, analysis and predictions based on data, research and modeling. Nothing beyond certain physical laws (things like Newton's Laws) is known to be true 100%. It is just not possible.

Edited by faster
Link to post
Share on other sites

It is extremely presumptuous for climatologists/scientists to claim that we are solely responsible for climate change when any scientific data from beyond a few hundreds years ago is dicey at best. If science can prove 100% the warming (and resultant localised cooling) is not part of a natural cycle then lets see that data.

Um, nobody has claimed that. Nice strawman though.

Basic facts

- Global climate warming

- Rate of Warming is faster than ever observed

- Rate of Warming can be explained when including human actions

- No explanation of current rate of warming excluding human actions.

  • Like 1
Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

Loading...
×
×
  • Create New...