Jump to content

My official Sochi Medal picks-sport by sport


Recommended Posts

Hello all, first time poster here, really excited for the Winter Games which'll commence in 3 weeks.

I'm seriously bored today...I'd figure I'd have some fun and create a list of my medal picks for the Sochi Olympics, sport by sport. These picks are based on my research, recent performances in world cups, world championships, etc, and my general knowledge of these winter sports which I follow religiously. It'll be interesting to compare my picks to Sports Illustrated's if and when they come out. Now time let the fun begin..

Alpine Skiing-Men's Downhill

(G) Askel Svindal-Norway

(S) Hans Reichelt-Austria

( B) Dominik Paris-Italy

Men's Super G

(G) Askel Svindal-Norway

(S) Adrien Theaux-France

( B) Matthias Miller-Austria

Men's Combined

(G) Marcel Hirscher-Austria

(S) Ted Ligety-United States

( B) Peter Fill-Italy

Men's Giant Slalom

(G) Marcel Hirscher-Austria

(S) Ted Ligety-United States

( B) Felix Neureuther-Germany

Men's Slalom

(G) Marcel Hirscher-Austria

(S) Ivica Kostelic-Croatia

( B) Mattias Hargin-Sweden

Women's Downhill

(G) Maria Hofl-Reisch-Germany

(S) Anna Fenninger-Austria

( B) Tina Weirather-Liechtenstein

Women's Super G

(G) Lara Gut-Switzerland

(S) Tina Weirather-Liechtenstein

( B) Anna Fenninger-Austria

Women's Combined

(G) Maria Hofl-Reisch-Germany

(S) Tina Maze-Slovenia

( B) Anna Fenninger-Austria

Women's Giant Slalom

(G) Tina Maze-Slovenia

(S) Jessica Lindell-Vikarby-Sweden

( B) Viktoria Rebensburg-Germany

Women's Slalom

(G) Mikaela Shiffrin-United States

(S) Tina Maze-Slovenia

( B) Maria Hofl-Reisch-Germany

Biathlon-Men 20km Individual

(G) Martin Fourcade-France

(S) Fredrick Lindstrom-Sweden

( B) Emil Hegle Svendsen-Norway

Men 10km Sprint

(G) Martin Fourcade-France

(S) Emil Hegle Svendsen-Norway

( B) Ole Einar Bjørndalen-Norway

Men 12.5km Pursuit

(G) Emil Hegle Svendsen-Norway

(S) Martin Fourcade-France

( B) Anton Shipulin-Russia

Men 15km Mass Start

(G) Anton Shipulin-Russia

(S) Emil Hegle Svendsen-Norway

( B) Tarjei Bø-Norway

Men 4 x 7.5km Relay

(G) Norway

(S) Russia

( B) France

Women 15km Individual

(G) Tora Berger-Norway

(S) Valj Semerenko-Ukraine

( B) Anastasia Kuzmina-Slovakia

Women 7.5km Sprint

(G) Olena Pidhrushna-Ukraine

(S) Tora Berger-Norway

( B) Darya Domracheva-Belarus

Women 10km Pursuit

(G) Tora Berger-Norway

(S) Olga Zaitseva-Russia

( B) Kaisa Mäkäräinen-Finland

Women 12.5km Mass Start

(G) Tora Berger-Norway

(S) Monika Hojnisz-Poland

( B) Darya Domracheva-Belarus

Women 4 x 6km Relay

(G) Norway

(S) Ukraine

( B) Germany

Mixed Relay

(G) Norway

(S) Czech Republic

( B) Russia

Bobsleigh-2-Man

(G) Russia

(S) Switzerland

( B) Germany

4-Man

(G) Germany

(S) Russia

( B) United States

2-Woman

(G) Canada

(S) United States

( B) Germany

Cross Country Skiing-Men 15km Classical

(G) Alexander Legkov-Russia

(S) Alexey Poltoranin-Kazakhstan

( B) Dario Colonga-Switzerland

Men 30km Skiathlon

(G) Dario Colonga-Switzerland

(S) Sjur Røthe-Norway

( B) Martin Johnsrud Sundby-Norway

Men 50km Freestyle

(G) Petter Northug-Norway

(S) Alexander Legkov-Russia

( B) Dario Colonga-Switzerland

Men 4 x 10km Relay

(G) Norway

(S) Russia

( B) Sweden

Men Sprint

(G) Emil Jönsson-Sweden

(S) Federico Pellegrino-Italy

( B) Anders Gløersen-Norway

Men Team Sprint

(G) Sweden

(S) Norway

( B) Russia

Women 10km Classical

(G) Marit Bjørgen-Norway

(S) Therese Johaug-Norway

( B) Justyna Kowalczyk-Poland

Women 15km Skiathlon

(G) Marit Bjørgen-Norway

(S) Kristin Størmer Steira-Norway

( B) Justyna Kowalczyk-Poland

Women 30km Freestyle

(G) Justyna Kowalczyk-Poland

(S) Therese Johaug-Norway

( B) Marit Bjørgen-Norway

Women 4 x 5km Relay

(G) Norway

(S) Finland

( B) Sweden

Women Sprint

(G) Ingvild Flugstad Oestberg-Norway

(S) Kikkan Randall-United States

( B) Marit Bjørgen-Norway

Women Team Sprint

(G) Norway

(S) Finland

( B) United States

Curling-Men

(G) Sweden

(S) Canada

( B) Great Britain

Women

(G) Canada

(S) Great Britain

( B) China

Figure Skating-Men

(G) Patrick Chan-Canada

(S) Yuzuru Hanyu-Japan

( B) Daisuke Takahashi-Japan

Ladies

(G) Carolina Kostner-Italy

(S) Mao Asada-Japan

( B) Kim Yuna-South Korea

Pairs

(G) Volosozhar/Trankov-Russia

(S) Savchenko/Szolkowy-Germany

( B) Duhamel/Radford-Canada

Ice Dance

(G) Davis/White-United States

(S) Virtue/Moir-Canada

( B) Bobrova/Soloviev-Russia

Team

(G) United States

(S) Canada

( B) Japan

Freestyle Skiing-Men Moguls

(G) Mikael Kingsbury-Canada

(S) Patrick Deneen-United States

( B) Alexandre Bilodeau-Canada

Men Aerials

(G) Guangpu Qi-China

(S) Travis Gerrits-Canada

( B) Jia Zongyang-China

Men Halfpipe

(G) David Wise-United States

(S) Mike Riddle-Canada

( B)Thomas Krief-France

Men Skicross

(G) Alex Fiva-Switzerland

(S) Christopher Del Bosco-Canada

( B) ean Frédéric Chapuis-France

Men Slopestyle

(G) Tom Wallasch-United States

(S) Nick Goepper-United States

( B) James Woods-Great Britain

Women Moguls

(G) Hannah Kearney-United States

(S) Aiko Uemura-Japan

( B) Chloé Dufour-Lapointe-Canada

Women Aerials

(G) Xu Mengtao-China

(S) Lydia Lassila-Australia

( B) Daniel Scott-Australia

Women Halfpipe

(G) Virginie Faivre-Switzerland

(S) Maddie Bowman-United States

( B) Rosalind Groenewoud-Canada

Women Skicross

(G) Marielle Thompson-Canada

(S) Fanny Smith-Switzerland

( B) Anna Wörner-Germany

Women Slopestyle

(G) Dara Howell-Canada

(S) Kaya Turski-Canada

( B) Julia Marino-Paraguay

Ice Hockey-Men

(G) Russia

(S) Sweden

( B) Canada

Women

(G) Canada

(S) United States

( B) Finland

Luge-Men

(G) Felix Loch-Germany

(S) Armin Zöggeler-Italy

( B) David Möller-Germany

Women

(G) Natalie Geisenberger-Germany

(S) Tatjana Hüfner-Germany

( B) Anke Wischnewski-Germany

Doubles

(G) Wendl/Arlt-Germany

(S) Eggert/Benecken-Germany

( B) Penz/Fischler-Austria

Team

(G) Germany

(S) Austria

( B) Canada

Nordic Combined-Nordic Combined-Team Large Hill

(G) Germany

(S) Norway

( B) France

Gunderson Large Hill

(G) Eric Frenzel-Germany

(S) Akito Watabe-Japan

( B) Mikko Kokslien-Norway

Gundersen Normal Hill

(G) Eric Frenzel-Germany

(S) Björn Kircheisen-Germany

( B) Jason Lamy Chappuis-France

Skeleton-Men

(G) Martin Dukurs-Latvia

(S) Thomass Dukurs-Latvia

( B) Alexander Tretiakov-Russia

(G) Elizabeth Yarnold-Great Britain

(S) Noelle Pikus Pace-United States

( B) Sarah Reid-Canada

Short Track Speedskating-Men's 500m

(G) Viktor Ahn-Russia

(S) Charles Hamelin-Canada

(B) Lee Han Bin-South Korea

Men's 1000m

(G) Charles Hamelin-Canada

(S) Viktor Ahn-Russia

( B) J.R. Celski-United States

Men's 1500m

(G) Charles Hamelin-Canada

(S) Lee Han Bin-South Korea

( B) Viktor Ahn-Russa

Men's Relay

(G) Canada

(S) Russia

( B) South Korea

Women's 500m

(G) Fan Kexin-China

(S) Arianna Fontana-Italy

( B) Shim Suk Hee-South Korea

Women's 1000m

(G) Shim Suk Hee-South Korea

(S) Kim A-Lang-South Korea

( B) Arianna Fontana-Italy

Women's 1500m

(G) Shim Suk Hee-South Korea

(S) Zhou Yang-China

( B) Kim A-Lang-South Korea

Women's Relay

(G) South Korea

(S) China

( B) Canada

Snowboarding-Men's Parallel Slalom

(G) Benjamin Karl-Austria

(S) Rok Marguč-Slovenia

( B) Roland Fischnaller-Italy

Men Parallel Giant Slalom

(G) Lukas Mathies-Austria

(S) Andreas Prommegger-Austria

( B) Rok Marguč-Slovenia

Men Halfpipe

(G) Ayumu Hirano-Japan

(S) Yuri Podladchikov-Switzerland

( B) Shawn White-United States

Men Slopestyle

(G) Mark McMorris-Canada

(S) Sébastien Toutant-Canada

( B) Roope Tonteri-Finland

Men Snowboardcross

(G) Alex Pullin-Australia

(S) Stian Sivertzen-Norway

( B) Nick Baumgartner-United States

Women Parallel Slalom

(G) Ekaterina Tudegesheva-Russia

(S) Julia Dujmovits-Austria

( B) Amelie Kober-Germany

Women Parallel Giant Slalom

(G) Amelie Kober-Germany

(S) Isabella Laböck-Germany

( B) Ester Ledecka-Czech Republic

Women Halfpipe

(G) Kelly Clark-United States

(S) Arielle Gold-United States

( B) Holly Crawford-Australia

Women Slopestyle

(G) Spencer O'Brien-Canada

(S) Enni Rukajärvi-Finland

( B) Torah Bright-Australia

Women Snowboardcross

(G) Lindsey Jacobellis-United States

(S) Dominique Maltais-Canada

( B) Maëlle Ricker-Canada

Ski Jumping-Men Normal Hill

(G) Anders Bardal-Norway

(S) Simon Ammann-Switzerland

( B) Gregor Schlierenzauer-Austria

Men Large Hill

(G) Gregor Schlierenzauer-Austria

(S) Thomas Morgenstern-Austria

( B) Anders Bardal-Norway

Men Team

(G) Austria

(S) Germany

( B) Switzerland

Women

(G) Sara Takanashi-Japan

(S) Carina Vogt-Germany

( B) Irina Avvakumova-Russia

Speedskating-Men 500m

(G) Mo Tae Bum-South Korea

(S) Keiichiro Nagashima-Japan

( B) Joji Kato-Japan

Men 1000m

(G) Shani Davis-United States

(S) Mo Tae Bum-South Korea

( B) Ronald Mulder-Netherlands

Men 1500m

(G) Koen Verweij-Netherlands

(S) Denis Yuskov-Russia

( B) Shani Davis-United States

Men 5000m

(G) Sven Kramer-Netherlands

(S) Bob De Jong-Netherlands

( B) Jorrit Bergsma-Netherlands

Men 10000m

(G) Jorrit Bergsma-Netherlands

(S) Sven Kramer-Netherlands

( B) Alex Contin-France

Men Team Pursuit

(G) Netherlands

(S) Russia

( B) South Korea

Women 500m

(G) Lee Sang-Hwa-South Korea

(S) Jenny Wolf-Germany

( B) Wang Beixing-China

Women 1000m

(G) Olga Fatkulina-Russia

(S) Heather Richardson-United States

( B) Brittany Bowe-United States

Women 1500m

(G) Brittany Bowe-United States

(S) Ireen Wüst-Netherlands

( B) Lotte van Beek-Netherlands

Women 3000m

(G) Claudia Pechstein-Germany

(S) Martina Sáblíková-Czech Republic

( B) Ireen Wüst-Netherlands

Women 5000m

(G) Martina Sáblíková-Czech Republic

(S) Yvonne Nauta-Netherlands

( B) Claudia Pechstein-Germany

Women Team Pursuit

(G) Netherlands

(S) Poland

( B) Canada

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Top 5 medal producing nations, weighed by Golds won: (G / S / B / Total )

1. Norway ( 17 / 10 / 8 / 35 )

2. Canada ( 12 / 10 / 10 / 32 )

3. Germany ( 12 / 8 / 11 / 31 )

4. United States ( 10 / 11 / 7 / 28 )

5. Russia ( 8 / 9 / 7 / 24 )

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Interesting tidbits: Norway sets a new record for golds won at a games with 17 golds and wins the most overall, with 35 medals. Liechtenstein wins its first medals since 1988 with 2 medals by Tina Weirather in alpine events. Paraguay becomes the first country from Latin America to win a medal at the winter games with Julia Marino's bronze in women's freestyle slopestyle. Marit Bjørgen from Norway will be the most decorated athlete at these games, picking up 6 medals in cross country skiing events. Shani Davis of the United States will win his 3rd consecutive title in the 1000m speedskating event, becoming the first American athlete to win the same event in 3 consecutive Olympics. Meanwhile, Shaun White fails to do the same. Italy's Carolina Kostner will shock many by winning the Ladies figure skating title, upsetting both Kim Yuna and Asado in the process. Russia beats Sweden in the men's gold medal hockey match with an overtime goal by Pavel Datsyuk, sending Russia into a frenzy a la '10 with Canada's OT win. A record 28 nations win medals at the Sochi games, up from 26 in Vancouver.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

It's unbelievable how much Americans are overestimating their figure skating team^

As an American, I tend to agree. I'd be shocked if we medaled in either the men's or women's single skate. However, the U.S. is balanced enough that it should challenge for gold in the team competition with no true weakness across all 4 major skating disciplines compared to other nations. I had to pick a few upsets here and there to keep it interesting, thus the U.S. edging out Canada in the team competition and Davis and White should cruise to gold in the Ice Dance. 2 medals tops for U.S. with Canada getting 4.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

As an American, I tend to agree. I'd be shocked if we medaled in either the men's or women's single skate. However, the U.S. is balanced enough that it should challenge for gold in the team competition with no true weakness across all 4 major skating disciplines compared to other nations. I had to pick a few upsets here and there to keep it interesting, thus the U.S. edging out Canada in the team competition and Davis and White should cruise to gold in the Ice Dance. 2 medals tops for U.S. with Canada getting 4.

Was more so based on Barons absurd predictions (idk if he might be trolling) and what I've read on Bleacher Report. I see the Canadians as the favourite in the team competition, but of course I could see the Americans winning as well. It's really going to come down to whoever they choose to make up the team.

I agree with most of your other predictions. Good job!

Link to comment
Share on other sites

US singles skaters have always pulled out major upsets at the Olympics: Tara Lipinski in Nagano; Sarah Hughes in Salt Lake. Paul Wylie pulled a silver in Albertville. So I don't see why I can't handicap them high in this year's race.

I call the winners!! I picked Tokyo; Madrid first out. I said that Stockholm-Are would not make it to Short List--for whatever reason.

Edited by baron-pierreIV
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Was more so based on Barons absurd predictions (idk if he might be trolling) and what I've read on Bleacher Report. I see the Canadians as the favourite in the team competition, but of course I could see the Americans winning as well. It's really going to come down to whoever they choose to make up the team.

I agree with most of your other predictions. Good job!

IMO Russia is more of a threat. THey win the pairs, third in ice dance, probably first or second in women + middle range for men.

But Canada without a doubt is the favourite for the team title.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

US singles skaters have always pulled out major upsets at the Olympics: Tara Lipinski in Nagano; Sarah Hughes in Salt Lake. Paul Wylie pulled a silver in Albertville. So I don't see why I can't handicap them high in this year's race.

I call the winners!! I picked Tokyo; Madrid first out. I said that Stockholm-Are would not make it to Short List--for whatever reason.

I agree, US skaters have tended to pull out upsets, but that was largely in the 6.0 era. You might figure Shizuka Arakawa's win in 2006 as a similar upset, I'm not sure. But frankly, in the current COP era, with the way PCS scoring has played out, I think it's highly unlikely we see any USians on the podium except for Davis/White. (Of course, the new team event different - the US is virtually assured of a medal of some color there.

Here are my predictions:

Men

(G) Yuzuru Hanyu

(S) Patrick Chan

( B) Tatsuki Machida (going out on a limb here, but I like his programs)

Ladies

(G) Mao Asada

(S) Kim Yuna

( B) Julia Lipnitskaia

Pairs

(G) Volosozhar/Trankov

(S) Savchenko/Szolkowy

( B) Pang/Tong

Ice Dance

(G) Davis/White

(S) Virtue/Moir

( B) Pechalat/Bourzat - I hope, anyway

Link to comment
Share on other sites

The USA does have a major weakness. Pairs. It is more likely Osmond places in the top five in women's, than the Americans finish in the top 5 in pairs. If Italy makes it into the finals over Japan, Canada should win. I also think people are greatly over-estimating Japan's chances.

Based on a simulation of the Team Trophy using the 2013 World Championships. Canada Gold, Russia Silver, USA Bronze. Italy and France in the top five.

Italy has decent women's, ice dance and pairs, France has decent pairs, ice dance and men's. Japan has nothing in ice dance or pairs.

And it looks like it is points from short + long that = winner.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Sorry, cascade79, but I hope you're wrong and Spain wins at least one medal ;)

For Figure Skating, I would go with

-Men

(G) Javier Fernandez - Spain

(S) Patrick Chan - Canada

( B) Jeremy Abbott - USA

Ladies

(G) Mao Asada-Japan

(S) Gracie Gold or Ashley Wagner - US

( B) Kim Yuna-South Korea

That would be great! :D

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

Loading...
 Share

×
×
  • Create New...