FYI Posted April 15, 2016 Report Share Posted April 15, 2016 Yea, 2024 could be similar to 2012, but things don't always play out the way they're supposed to. You know my feelings on this bid that Paris has a natural edge, but I wouldn't frame it to where LA can't afford any mistakes while Paris has a comfortable margin for error. That was my original point to Nacre. Every vote matters on both sides, even for Paris when they're in their most favorable position of the 4 bids they've been a part of. Yeah, I know what you were trying to say to nacre. And that's fine if you want to subscribe to the whole "devil's advocate" type of argument (which you usually like to do). But I'm "not a big fan" of that type of philosophy. I do believe (& it turns out that so do some others on here as well) that Paris could indeed have that 'comfortable margin for error' this time around & not just a "natural edge", cuz to me, the latter only suggests a 'subtle edge', which I don't believe to be the case. When Munich & Pyeongchang were dueling it out for 2018, many believed that it was going to be a "tight race", but that couldn't have been further from the truth after Pyeongchang's multiple attempts. Same thing for 2008, & one could make the argument for 2004, 2016 & even 2020, too, when there were many that simply claimed Tokyo couldn't win cuz of Pyeongchang 2018 (which I didn't buy into that theory at all), yet Tokyo went on to win 2020 by a very comfortable margin. But hindsight is always 20/20, & then you'll always have the people that will say afterwards that "it was finally Beijing's time, PyeongChang's time or Rio's time", etc, to which 2024 could very well end up in that category, as well. So while it's always the "nature of gamesbids" (as you always enjoy to point out, & yet you're always here along with the rest of us 'extremists' :-P) to go to all sorts of extremes, why does it have to be such taboo to be firmly on one side of the fence, versus - "well, ya know, it could be that way, but it could also be this way. Everyone is more or less on 'equal' footing". Which, when we're talking about the IOC afterall, is anything but. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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