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Team Canada at Sochi 2014

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Just to further my point on freestyle qualifications not helping diversity: there will not be a full field in the women's aerials because they ran out of reserves athletes that have achieved the minimum points requirement while in men's aerials they are up to the sixth reserves. Five of those six reserves are from countries that already qualified in men's aerials, and the other country already had athletes in freestyle skiing.

Edited by Fox334
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In regards to figure skating: it may seem odd the results of two the top two deciding a third spot: however it should be noted that they do have minimum technical scores that need to happen during the season to make the world championships and olympics so the third spot doesn't just get filled by someone who is weak, they have to show they can do minimum technical skills.

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Speaking of rejecting quotas, how likely is it that Canada gets additional spots in snowboarding (M parallel, W halfpipe and cross)

None because we have the maximum team qualified.

Also in freestyle Megan Gunning was injured at the x games and will be replaced with Phillipe Marquis in men's moguls.

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Let's talk about the overall medal performance of Team Canada. I've been going over all the sports to see who will be contending for medals and if our team achieves it's full potential we could set some medal records here. Pretty exciting

Edited by dave199
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1984 - 4 (2 gold)

1988 - 5 (0)

1992 - 7 (2)

1994 - 13 (3)

1998 - 15 (6)

2002 - 17 (7)

2006 - 24 (7)

2010 - 26 (14)

With 1988 to 1992 being the transition into the modern era for the Olympic Winter Games and 2002 to 2006 being between when Vancouver got awarded the games.

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It doesn't seem to have been published in English yet but the Cross Country team will contain 13 skiers rather than 11 due to an appeal by Amanda Ammar. The arbitrator decided that Cross Country Canada couldn't refuse the two additional quotas they got from the FIS, so Ammar and another athletes will join the Cross Country team in Sochi.


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Canada has announced its ski jumping team: Mackenzie Boyd-Clowes, Dusty Korek, Trevor Morrice and Matthew Rowley will compete in the men's events while Taylor Henrich, Alexandra Pretorius and Atsuko Tanaka will compete in the women's normal hill.

Somewhat shockingly Canada has one of the biggest ski jumping team. A medal is possible but unlikely on the women's side (Tanaka has a fourth place finish in a world cup this year) while a top 15 might be a possibility for Boyd-Clowes.

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CBC Sports - Monday Jan. 27, 2014 16:35 ET
Canada to win 13 gold medals in Sochi: Associated Press Projections give Canada 31 medals overall


Canadian short track speed skater Charles Hamelin is projected to garner two gold medals and one silver medal in Sochi, according to the Associated Press. (File/Getty Images)

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The Associated Press has released their Sochi Olympic projections, and they've got Canada down for 13 gold medals and 31 medals overall.

The total medal count, which includes seven silver and 11 bronze, would be six more medals than achieved in Vancouver in 2010. The gold medal count four years ago was 14, capped off by Canada's gold in men's hockey.

The AP has Canada defending that title, denying Alex Ovechkin in the final of his dream of winning Olympic gold on home ice in Russia. The Canadian women will bow to the United States in hockey, it is predicted.

Canada will earn a whopping four gold and 10 medals overall in freestyle skiing according to the forecast. The winners? Dara Howell, Marielle Thompson, Mike Riddle and Mikael Kingsbury, in a 1-2 finish for Canada in moguls with Alex Bilodeau.

Charles Hamelin would arguably be the man of the Olympics for Canada, given the AP picks, having a hand in three of the country's four medals in the sport (two gold, one silver).

With respect to other Canadian star athletes, the pick is for Kaillie Humphries to get the best of U.S. competitor Elana Myers, while Patrick Chan will get over recent big competition jitters to win figure skating gold ahead of Japanese teen Yuzuru Hanyu.

The script will be flipped in ice dance from four years ago in Vancouver, with Tessa Virtue and Scott Moir earning silver behind friendly American rivals Meryl Davis and Charlie White.

The Canadians are seen as the likely winners of the inaugural figure skating team competition.

Mixed results in curling

In curling, Brad Jacobs and his rink will prevail over Niklas Edin of Sweden, it is said, which would be a reversal of their world championship final result last year.

Jennifer Jones and her Manitoba-based team are pegged to earn bronze in women's curling.

Christine Nesbitt won't be defending her title in the 1,000 metres in long track speed skating, instead settling for bronze at 1,500 to go with a silver in women's team pursuit.

The news agency projects Canada's 20-year medal drought in alpine skiing will come to an end, with Calgary's Jan Hudec winning bronze in super-G and Marie-Michele Gagnon of Lac Etchemin, Que., taking bronze in super-combined.

Hudec is currently battling a back injury, but hopes to compete in Sochi.

More curious is the pick of Jasey Jay Anderson winning his second career gold medal parallel giant slalom snowboarding. Anderson's results this season would make such a result a pleasant surprise for Canada.

Mark McMorris won't even land on the podium for the Olympic debut of slopestyle, according to the AP crystal ball, but Canadian Maxence Parrot will ride his recent hot streak to gold in the event, to help round out four medals in snowboarding.

Canada will have just Alex Gough's bronze to show in luge, despite podium-worthy results in the "new" team relay competition.

Canadian athletes in skeleton and biathlon will be shut out, as will the cross-country team, despite some podium finishes in recent years at the World Cup and world championship level.

Other notable international results: Yuna Kim of South Korea will become the first since Katarina Witt in the 1980s to repeat as ladies figure skating champ, Sara Takanashi of Japan will take the inaugural women's ski jumping competition, and Norwegian big man Aksel Lund Svindal will win three alpine gold medals, which would be a mighty feat indeed.

It should be noted that there are 98 medal events in Sochi beginning on Feb. 8, an increase of a dozen from Vancouver four years ago.

Edited by dave199
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It's actually 31 medals. They made a typo

I just tallied it all up and they're numbers are quite out there for the USA.

1.USA 14Gold 17Silver 13 Bronze Total 44 medals

2.Norway 17 Gold 9 Silver 11 Bronze Total 37 medals

3.Russia 10 Gold 14 Silver 9 Bronze Total 33 medals

4.Canada 13 Gold 7 Silver 11 Bronze Total 31 medals

5.Germany 9 Gold 11 Silver 5 Bronze Total 25 medals

Canada's Short Track Relay teams not medaling? Hmmmm

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USA is projected for 44. AP picks JJA to repeat? Really? TBH seems like it was put together sloppily.

The USA and Russia's overall counts are over inflated. And 17 Gold medals for Norway? That's insane even though we know they should dominate Biatlon and Cross Country Skiing but I doubt it will be gold sweeps throughout all the events. I could be wrong :unsure: I'm curious to see SI and other media outlets predictions soon to see if they're close to these numbers.

Edited by dave199
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It could happen. If Canada cracks 30 medals that would be awesome. Some of those predictions are weird though.

Honestly, and remembering Melissa Hollingsworth from Vancouver, I just want every single Canadian athlete to go there and come away proud of their performances. If our athletes compete and perform at their top level and we win 20 or 40 or whatever amount of medals, it doesn't matter. They did the best they could possibly do.

I mean from Vancouver Erik Guay's two painfully close 5th places, Jean-Philippe Leguellec's performance, and Devan Kershaw in the 50km stand out just as much as any of the medal performances.

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The USA and Russia's overall counts are over inflated. And 17 Gold medals for Norway? That's insane

It's not realistic. Reason these magazines etc predict this is that they won 17 golds in the last cycle of championships for nordic skiing, alpine and biathlon, but since then several athletes have dropped slightly in their performance (Berger, Northug (virus during preseason) and Bjørgen) and the competition is fiercer.

I'd say 11 golds is a realistic achievement, but if everything goes smooth, it could be more. It could be less as well. Looking at the sports betting markets, 11-12 golds seem to be the expected number.

AP's predictions seem to be insightful in some places, but completely off the chart for some other events. It's extremely unlikely that Lund Svindal wins super combined for instance, though he could grab a medal with some luck and overachievement in slalom.

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CALGARY - Canada's goal is to win more medals than any other country at the Sochi Winter Olympics. The 26 medals Canadians won four years ago in Vancouver was good for third overall, but there are more medals on the table this time as new events are introduced in Russia. Here are Canadian Press's medal predictions:

Alpine Skiing

Canada hasn't won an Olympic alpine ski medal since Edi Podivinsky's bronze in the 1994 downhill. Downhillers Erik Guay of Mont Tremblant, Que., Manny Osborne-Paradis of North Vancouver, B.C., and self-described "slalom ninja" Marie-Michele Gagnon of Lac-Etchemin, Que., are poised to end that drought. Gagnon is fast enough in speed events to pull off a medal in women's super-combined, which is determined by combined results of a slalom and a downhill.

Medal prediction: 2


Jean-Philippe Le Guellec of Shannon, Que., posted historic results on the World Cup circuit in the last four years, but the men's field is so deep and tough he'll need perfect racing and accuracy to get on the podium.

Medal prediction: 0


Calgary pilot Kaillie Humphries and brakewoman Heather Moyse of Summerside, P.E.I., are back to defend their Olympic gold medal. Any thing less than a medal would be a disappointment given Humphries' domination in women's bobsleigh. There isn't one men's sled that's been as consistent, but the men are capable of medals in both two- and four-man.

Medal prediction: 2

Cross-Country Skiing

The Canadian men did everything but get on the podium in 2010 with seven top-10 finishes, including three in the top five. Alex Harvey of St-Ferreol, Que., is peaking at the right time. He and Devon Kershaw of Sudbury, Ont., are podium threats in the team pursuit and the men's relay team is also a contender. But it could be Ivan Babikov of Canmore, Alta., who becomes the first Canadian male to win a cross-country ski medal as the men's competition opens with the 30k.

Medal prediction: 2


The question that applies to hockey also applies to curling. It's not a question of whether Canada will win two medals in the sport, it's what colour? Jennifer Jones, Kaitlyn Lawes, Jill Officer and Dawn McEwen have the tools, talent and international experience to claim gold. Brad Jacobs, Ryan Fry and the Harnden brothers E.J. and Ryan of Sault Ste. Marie, Ont., are the breakout men's team in Canada. They need to maintain their momentum.

Medal prediction: 2

Figure Skating

Canada is a virtual medal lock in the new team event, which features male, female, a pairs team, and an ice dance team from each country skating a short and long program. Winner of three straight world titles in men's singles, Toronto's Patrick Chan aims to be the first Olympic men's champion from Canada. Tessa Virtue of London, Ont., and Scott Moir of Ilderton, Ont., will have to fend off Americans Meryl Davis and Charlie White to retain their ice dance title.

Medal Prediction: 3

Freestyle Skiing

Throw in the new disciplines that Canada is really good at and the freestylers will be the driver of Canada's medal count in Sochi. Defending moguls champion Alex Bilodeau of Rosemere, Que., and Mikael Kingsbury of Deux-Montagnes, Que., have stood together on the podium of almost every World Cup and world championship since 2010. Montreal's Justine Dufour-Lapointe is a solid contender in women's moguls. Mike Riddle of Sherwood Park, Alta., and Calgary's Rosalind Groenewoud lead a deep halfpipe team. Montreal's Kaya Turski and Dara Howell of Huntville, Ont., are podium prospects in slopestyle. The skicross team boasts multiple medal threats. Travis Gerrits of Milton, Ont., gives Canada a medal chance in aerials.

Medal prediction: 6


Defending champion Canada and host Russia are the favourites to win gold in men's ice hockey. Half of the Canadian team that won in an overtime thriller in 2010 is on the 2014 squad, but goaltending is a question mark in Sochi. Reigning world champion Sweden is also a threat on the big ice, while the U.S. and Finland are also in the conversation. The Canadian women should meet the U.S. in the gold-medal game again.

Medal prediction: 2


Luge is easily the Canadian sport that has come the furthest since 2010. Calgary's Alex Gough has broken up the domination of German women with consistent podium results. Gough, Sam Edney and the doubles team of Justin Snith and Tristan Walker can win a medal in the new team relay event.

Medal prediction: 2

Nordic Combined/Ski Jumping

They were grounded in their bid to compete in 2010, but the world's female ski jumpers will soar into the Olympic history books in Sochi. Among them will be Calgarians Atsuko Tanaka, Taylor Henrich and Alexandra Pretorius. Tanaka was fourth at a World Cup in January. Pretorious won a Grand Prix this winter before knee surgery sidelined her. A medal is a longshot, but not out of the question.

Medal prediction: 0

Short-Track Speedskating

Led by the decorated Charles Hamelin of Sainte-Julie, Que., and Marianne St.-Gelais of St.-Felicien, Que., the short-track team is smart, experienced and a medal contender in every distance. The sport is notorious for crashes and disqualifications, so the Canadians need to stay on their feet and race clean.

Medal prediction: 5


Defending Olympic champion Jon Montomgery of Russell, Man., didn't qualify for Canada's 2014 squad. Calgary's Sarah Reid, a bronze medallist at last year's world championship, is Canada's best chance at a medal.

Medal prediction: 0


Women's snowboard cross and the new discipline of men's and women's slopestyle are Canada's strongest events on one plank. Maelle Ricker of Squamish, B.C., is the reigning world and Olympic women's champion and Dominique Maltais of Petite-Riviere-St-Francois, Que., is a consistent podium performer in boarder cross. Mark McMorris's momentum in slopestyle took a hit when the Regina native fractured his rib at the recent X Games, although he intends to compete in Sochi. Canadian teammate Maxence Parrot of Bromont, Que., stepped up to win the X Games title. Spencer O'Brien of Courtney, B.C., is the reigning world champion in women's slopestyle.

Medal prediction: 3


The long-track team lacks the depth it once had with the retirements of Clara Hughes and Kristina Groves and the absence of Cindy Klassen. Christine Nesbitt of London, Ont., is the defending champion in the women's 1,000 metres, but hasn't finished in the medals this season. The men's and women's pursuit teams are medal contenders.

Medal prediction: 1

Total: 30

CP predictions

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I think there will be one in cross country. The team struggled early but has now posted a lot of strong results in the lead up to the games. The same goes for alpine skiing. But in both sports there is probably 10 to 15 people that can medal in each event. Anyone could surprise.

I think after everything.

Alpine Skiing: 0 - 2 (I think 0)

Biathlon: 0

Bobsleigh: 1 - 3 (I think 1)

Cross Country: 0 - 3 (1)

Curling: 2

Figure Skating: 3 - 4 (3)

Freestyle Skiing: 4 - 13 (7)

Hockey: 1 - 2 (1)

Luge: 0 - 4 (1)

Short Track: 4 - 8 (6)

Skeleton: 0 - 2 (1)

Ski Jumping: 0

Snowboarding: 2 to 11 (4)

Speed Skating: 0 to 4 (2)

27 medals.

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