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Well, let's see how things are by November. The likelihood to pass is definitely higher than it would have been in Berlin, after all that was the main DOSB argument for their decision.

But if they think it's done and dusted already like with Munich 2022, then there's no need to book hotels in Lima just yet...

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Well, let's see how things are by November. The likelihood to pass is definitely higher than it would have been in Berlin, after all that was the main DOSB argument for their decision.

But if they think it's done and dusted already like with Munich 2022, then there's no need to book hotels in Lima just yet...

Will Mr. Bach hold DOSB to the same standard as he seems to be holding USOC regarding its "commitment" to bidding?

"Bach is determined to have a strong candidate from the U.S., which hasn't hosted a Summer Games since Atlanta in 1996. "For us the situation has not changed," he said. "We had a commitment from USOC for an Olympic candidature for 2024. We have this commitment. We're sure that USOC will deliver on this commitment, and that we will have on the 15th of September, a bid from the United States." "

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This statement is mostly a diplomatic effort especially to avoid the 2022 scenario again.

Exactly. It also makes the IOC look much better if there's more bids from A-list countries/cities, no matter if those bids have a chance or not.

And of course Bach unlike what others seem to believe, Bach is not Samaranch, he doesn't have any personal interest in getting the Games to Germany, so he'd probably just shrug if Hamburg's referendum failed. He didn't go on record with anger and frustration about Munich 2022 either.

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Well, what it really means is that the IOC and FIFA, better watch out with their demands. Not every wannabee host city/country will simply accept the IOC's terms point-blank.

Fewer and fewer Western countries or cities will but I imagine Russia, Azerbaijan, the UAE, China, Kazakhstan, etc will be happy to sign whatever is put in front of them.

On an unrelated note I just flew back home from your favorite city: Reno. As much as I think drought should kill any chance of a California/Nevada winter games, I have to say I am thrilled that they have at least turned down the volume of the slot machines at the airport, in restaurants, etc since I was last there six years ago. Bravo, Reno.

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Exactly. It also makes the IOC look much better if there's more bids from A-list countries/cities, no matter if those bids have a chance or not.

And of course Bach unlike what others seem to believe, Bach is not Samaranch, he doesn't have any personal interest in getting the Games to Germany, so he'd probably just shrug if Hamburg's referendum failed. He didn't go on record with anger and frustration about Munich 2022 either.

So if it looks better to still have the U.S. on board, wouldn't it also be all the more better to still have Germany as well for 2024? It's still a very prominent European country not to have on the roster.

Sure, Bach didn't seem to care when Munich pulled out, but that was when they "still had six interested cities for 2022, so he wasn't worried", remember? I don't think he'd be as casual this time around if Germany again bailed. He does need to worry about it this time out so there's no other 2022 scenario.

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So if it looks better to still have the U.S. on board, wouldn't it also be all the more better to still have Germany as well for 2024? It's still a very prominent European country not to have on the roster.

Sure, Bach didn't seem to care when Munich pulled out, but that was when they "still had six interested cities for 2022, so he wasn't worried", remember? I don't think he'd be as casual this time around if Germany again bailed. He does need to worry about it this time out so there's no other 2022 scenario.

The Hamburg referendum is past the deadline, so either it succeeds or there is no German bid. Hamburg certainly won't bail out earlier though.

And Bach can't do much anyway to secure the success of the referendum: He's not popular at all and the No campaign would be highly sensitive to anything he does or says.

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