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Chinese city to host future Summer Olympic Games


Baptista

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I hope it's Shanghai. It would be obvious and iconic. And it is a cool city. But I also hope it's at least 15-20 years off.

I´ve never been there, but one day I will!!! :)

Yes, could be the most obvious and iconic choice... and located in a "new" geographical area (East China Sea)

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First, there's Harbin for 2030 or 2034. Then wait 5 or 6 rounds before it goes back to China. So 2060 or 2064 at the earliest, which puts it 52-56 years after 2008...so in keeping with the 44- to-64 year gaps between the LAs 32 and 84; Australia's 1956-2000 and London's 08-48-2012; and maybe Japan's 1964-2020 turn.

I think a Busan will sneak in there in the late 30s and early 40s somehow especially if So. Korea stages an exemplary PyeongChang Games.

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First, there's Harbin for 2030 or 2034. Then wait 5 or 6 rounds before it goes back to China. So 2060 or 2064 at the earliest, which puts it 52-56 years after 2008...so in keeping with the 44- to-64 year gaps between the LAs 32 and 84; Australia's 1956-2000 and London's 08-48-2012; and maybe Japan's 1964-2020 turn.

I think a Busan will sneak in there in the late 30s and early 40s somehow especially if So. Korea stages an exemplary PyeongChang Games.

I think 2038 is more likely. for the 10 year for the "8" pattern. I guess we will see next year if Tokyo wins (and pattern is off) or if Tokyo loses (pattern survives :lol:)

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I think China will host summer games much sooner than the 60s. Rogge himself sorta gave them the 20-year wait advice, so I wouldn't be surprised to see them start bidding in earnest again from the 2020s-30s. And I wouldn't be surprised if its summer again before they land a WOGs.

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Hmmm.

I think Baron is right about Harbin coming next.

I think Rols is right about China not waiting until the 60's.

My guess:

Harbin in the 30's.

Shanghai in the late 40's.

I doubt it will be Harbin due to geography/distance issues.

I think it will be either Jilin City/Changchun which held the 2007 Winter Asian Games

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Hmmm.

I think Baron is right about Harbin coming next.

I think Rols is right about China not waiting until the 60's.

My guess:

Harbin in the 30's.

Shanghai in the late 40's.

That feels about right to me too. The US has been made to wait, and so will China. But both are still superpowers so I doubt either will be waiting too long between hostings. 30 years feels about right.

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Changcun? Never heard. Is that like Cancun's sister city? :lol: But China's winter athletes train in Harbin; so why shouldn't it be Harbin?

Well they hosted the 2007 Games and the resort is closer to them then Harbin's. Also that resort hosts a WC every year building up experience.

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Changcun? Never heard. Is that like Cancun's sister city? :lol: But China's winter athletes train in Harbin; so why shouldn't it be Harbin?

If you're going to attempt jokes you should try to at least make them funny.

Harbin was rejected for the 2012 WYOG with one reason being the mountain resorts being too far away - Yabuli is 240km away from Harbin.

Changchun which incidentally hosted the 2007 Winter Asian Games so has more recent experience and has a population of over 7.5million itself so is only slightly smaller than Harbin. Its mountain resorts are only 160km away at Beida Lake, and only 65km from 2007 co-host Jilin City which has itself a population of 4.4m

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See, I think it's unlikely the IOC will give China 2 Asian Summer Games in a row -- especially when Tokyo is such a capable alternative. I think the IOC would prefer

Japan 64

Korea 88

China 08

Japan

China

Korea (Middle East?)

China

India/Southeast Asia/Middle East??

Also, we should remember that Tokyo was initially hesitant about bidding for 2020 due to geopolitics. Rogge and others egged them on. I think Tokyo has a great shot at winning this.

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I think someone in-the-know mentioned a while back that the IOC didn't particularly enjoy working with the Chinese organisers who felt they knew best a lot of the time. I can't remembers the specifics, but I'm sure this was mentioned to be the case.

I'd imagine of course, that the return to such a huge market will outweigh concerns like that, but still, it might count for something in a tight race.

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