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Olympic Bid Predictive Market


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how do you know how many shares in something you have?

I think it depends on when you click on your prediction and you get those coloured bars "should this be higher or lower". I noticed today clicking on the middle bar gave me six shares, and clicking on the highest bar gave me nine.

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I think it depends on when you click on your prediction and you get those coloured bars "should this be higher or lower". I noticed today clicking on the middle bar gave me six shares, and clicking on the highest bar gave me nine.

Yeah i knew that much dont know if i did that 4 times or 6 haha

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  • 1 month later...
  • 2 months later...

Just figured I'd hedge my bets - and honestly, they were so cheap they were next to nothing - I think I stand to lose about $20 if they lose, as expected, and like I said, $100,000 plus if they win! I notice someone else has just gone on a HUGE Madrid & Istanbul spending spree!

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Hmmmm. I think someone's being a bit too over-enthusiastic in their support for Tokyo and treating it as a popularity poll rather than a "market" - I see they've been at work overnight again and flatlined the Istanbul and Madrid chances (Madrid fair enough, but I sure wouldn't rate Istanbul as 'no chance').

I

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  • 7 months later...
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Things have changed and now its Tokyo 3/5, Madrid 6/1 and Istanbul 13/5... with an amazing "Any other city" 0/1 :huh:

That's surprising. So Madrid's actually fallen in the bookies estimates from 9/2 to 6. I'd have thought it would have picked up a bit.

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  • 4 weeks later...
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The odds are incredibly shortening for Madrid....and although this have been happening during the last few days, today was the most radical change. does anyone know why this sudden change and why Istanbul is drifting? I havent seen in the news anything that could give me a clue about this and I think this is weird... not that Im not happy for Madrid but I would like to find some explanation..

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The odds are incredibly shortening for Madrid....and although this have been happening during the last few days, today was the most radical change. does anyone know why this sudden change and why Istanbul is drifting? I havent seen in the news anything that could give me a clue about this and I think this is weird... not that Im not happy for Madrid but I would like to find some explanation..

People putting their last minute bets on - not surprising to see Madrid pick up, as they do seem to have the momentum.

I see Madrid's picked up in the GamesBids predictive market as well - my 3000 "shares" will net me $291,000 virtual dollars if the m wins now!

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