Jump to content

Olympic Bid Predictive Market


Recommended Posts

  • Replies 50
  • Created
  • Last Reply

Top Posters In This Topic

Top Posters In This Topic

Popular Posts

Try out this predictive market for the 2020 Olympic bid race. Rather than a poll it gathers more information and offers an incentive for correct choices. You can also add a confidence level to your

New question has been added... What Olympic bid city will lead BidIndex 2020 in the initial release? http://gamesbids.inklingmarkets.com/markets/46947 It's great to see people participating - and

Yeah, this mad keen Tokyo fan (I think it's Kisah) is stuffing it up with his overeagerness for the rest of us who think Tokyo will win.

I urge you all to try this - it is a stock market model currently with two questions:

What city will win the bid to host the 2020 Olympic Games?

Baku, Azerbaijan currently leads with a chance of 21.29%

What cities bidding to host the 2020 Olympic Games will make the short list (on May 23)?

Tokyo, Japan currently leads with a chance of 27.14%

You set up an account with virtual money and the "value" of each choice changes each day so your portfolio value change. You can change your choices as often as you like to earn more. Basically, it's a game to see who can make the right choices and earn the most.

This is currently in test mode but we will consider giving prizes to the top gainers. Right now it's good to get in early as the "prices" are low and gains could be big. If you think Tokyo's chances of making the shortlist is higher than 27.14% then you can "buy stock" in that opinion and as more people support that opinion your value goes up.

AND - many of you will like that you can short sell too - so if you see a bid go way up because of unrealistic enthusiasm, you can bid it down to earn more "money". Would you consider short-selling Baku, the current leader in the bid winner poll?

Just try it!

Link to post
Share on other sites
  • 4 weeks later...

Here is another...

http://gamesbids.ink...m/markets/46955

Turkey is bidding for both the 2020 Olympics and the UEFA Euro 2020 but it is unlikely that one country will be awarded both events. What will most likely happen?

POSSIBLE ANSWERS

Turkey will win UEFA, bid for Olympics

Turkey will win UEFA, drop Olympic bid

Turkey continues UEFA and Olympic bids

Turkey will drop out of UEFA 2020 bid

Will drop UEFA & miss Olympic shortlist

Link to post
Share on other sites

Just a suggestion all - the numbers in the "Who will make the shortlist?" are all very low - even Tokyo is at 50% (meaning if you place a "bet" on them now you will double your points if they make a the shortlist. If you haven't signed up yet - do so now - make a prediction on the shortlist and get lots of play money in your account.

http://gamesbids.inklingmarkets.com/markets/46048

In the future we will be offering prizes to top scorers so if you get involved now you will be in much better shape later.

We will be adding questions all of the time.

Have fun!

Link to post
Share on other sites

Just a suggestion all - the numbers in the "Who will make the shortlist?" are all very low - even Tokyo is at 50% (meaning if you place a "bet" on them now you will double your points if they make a the shortlist. If you haven't signed up yet - do so now - make a prediction on the shortlist and get lots of play money in your account.

http://gamesbids.ink...m/markets/46048

In the future we will be offering prizes to top scorers so if you get involved now you will be in much better shape later.

We will be adding questions all of the time.

Have fun!

Cool just signed up and made alot of bets hope they pay up :D

Link to post
Share on other sites


  • Tokyo, Japan
    This question is over. You made a profit of $2,241.93.

  • Istanbul, Turkey
    This question is over. You made a profit of $441.45.

  • Doha, Qatar
    This question is over. You took a loss of $1,307.62.

  • Baku, Azerbaijan
    This question is over. You took a loss of $325.95.
  • cool in the end i made money :D thanks tokyo

Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

Loading...

×
×
  • Create New...