FYI Posted May 11, 2014 Report Share Posted May 11, 2014 What you are describing is an optimistic, best-case-scenario. Of course SA is not to blame for Rio's problems. But Rio staged successful PanAms that offered no hint of the Olympic dilemmas to come. SA has never staged CWG's. Brazil's economy is far larger than SA's and yet they are having financial issues with their preparations. Why should the IOC assume that SA would be smooth sailing? I think it would be a huge mistake to believe that SA is the best judge of their own preparedness. They may think they are ready, but they have never hosted an international multi-sport competition of any kind, much less Olympics. No matter how intelligent and well-researched they are, they can't possibly really understand the task ahead of them. That's why it's essential that the IOC examine them very closely. Rio will be fresh in the IOC's minds when they vote for 2024. Tokyo will not have happened yet. I think the big question is how much work the IOC will have had to do to bail Rio out. If they are all exhausted from helping Rio pull off the Games by the skin of their teeth (no matter how exceptional the Games turn out to be), it's hard for me to imagine them signing up for the same process with SA. The ends do not justify the means. Even if the final product in Rio is successful, if the IOC has to go through hell to pull it off, they'll be wary of repeating that process anytime soon. Personally, I think the IOC should EXPECT an unprecedented level of involvement in the delivery of the first African Olympics. That isn't wrong, it's just practical. I can imagine the members saying, "Yes, we're dying to go to Africa, but we need a bit of a breather. Tokyo is great, but the 2024 planning will begin before Tokyo happens. We're having issues with Winter Games too. Our image is in the toilet because we look like a bunch of out of touch big spenders. Africa would not only be exhausting, it could be tricky from a PR point of view. We need something safe that will give us a chance to catch our breath and help create a paradigm for lower cost, more sustainable Olympics." I don't see how Tokyo & a future U.S. Games could "help create a paradigm for lower-cost, more sustainable Games" if that's the argument you wanna use. Los Angeles, Dallas & San Diego are all taking about Games in the amount of at least 10-17 Billion. And we should know by now, those figures always balloon, especially by 2024 Olympic dollars. I'm not describing anything more optimistic than you are for the possibility of another U.S. Summer Games. No Olympic Games are smooth sailing, really. So why should South Africa be any different in that aspect. While the Pan Ams did provide a boost for Rio, I don't think that's neither here nor there at this point. Yeah, Brazil's economy is larger, but again, they bit off more than they can chew by hosting two mega, sporting-events just two years apart (they also chose to add more stadiums to their 2014 roster when FIFA advised that fewer would suffice). It was an issue of concern during the 2016 campaign, & it looks like those concerns weren't that much off the mark. The Pan Ams have nothing to do with anything at this point, regardless how they turned out. If Brazil just went after the Olympics, we wouldn't be really seeing many of these issues, not to this great extent anyway. Perhaps just your usual "oh, they're running a bit behind on this or that" stuff like most host cities in their lead-up time. I don't think that hosting the CWG's first is a make or break deal, either. It's not like those games are particularly cheap or that much less logistical to operate. But nonetheless, perhaps that's why they're going after those first. I don't think, however, that they're being so foolhardy about this & don't have a clue whatsoever as to what they could be asking for. There's gotta be some level of pragmatism & sense on their part. I find this quite surprising coming from you actually, since not too long ago you were saying that it'd be foolish for the U.S. to bid again if South Africa were in the picture. Yeah, you could say its rios troubles that have made you change your course. But I don't think its that all cut-&-dry as some are making their troubles out to be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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