Quaker2001 Posted October 16, 2012 Report Share Posted October 16, 2012 In order for the US to lose 2024, 2028 and 2032, the IOC would have to deny them 5 consecutive times. I don't see that happening -- especially in the wake of the revenue deal. Talk about biting the hand that feeds you. What I'm hearing is that if 2026 is out of the picture, you're projecting the worst case Summer scenario -- 5 consecutive rejections -- which seems highly unlikely. However, if 2026 is in the picture, you're projecting the best case Summer scenario -- the IOC will award the US Summer Games in the 30s -- also highly unlikely. I don't see it happening either, but that said, you're the only who keeps telling us of this new world order within the IOC and how maybe a city would get selected over a U.S. city to "rankle" the Americans. You keep saying how there's negativity towards the United States (while admitedly, I'm the one who is saying watch the IOC come begging the United States to host an Olympics if the money ever dried up). I still think you're getting a little too caught up in the idea that the United States needs to host a Summer Olympics as soon as they can get one and would be well-served to ignore a higher probability Winter hosting in order to make that happen. Your two scenarios imagine two radically different IOCs -- one is outright hostile and spiteful towards the US, while the other is extremely generous and warm.I find both of the above scenarios to be unrealistically polarized. The IOC knows that they need to keep the US happy (meaning American Games of some sort are in the cards sometime in the next few cycles). However, the IOC is not going to treat the US like the darling they were in the 70s, 80s and 90s (meaning American Games will be spaced farther apart). I think the above is a pretty balanced view. Under the circumstances described above -- if you have to content yourself with one Olympics for several decades, why not go for Summer? Even if it means risking the possibility of waiting an extra 2 to 6 years? If you assume 2024 fails (and it could succeed), the distance between 2026 and 2028 and 2032 is 2-6 years. That's it. Why not be patient and get what you really want? Again.. who says the Summer Olympics is what the USOC really wants? That's your position, we don't know if it's theirs, yet you keep making it sound like it is and claim there's evidence out there that supports it. Not to mention how you keep saying how you are as unimpressed with the Winter candidates as McKayla was with her silver medal. And also with the frequent hostings.. be careful where you're trying to create an equivalency between 4 hostings in 22 years and the possibility of 2 within 10 years. The former is not likely to ever come close to happening again. The latter I believe is still well within the realm of possibility, especially if it's the United States, even if it's Winter to Summer. I don't accept like you seem to want to that it's as unlikely to happen as you seem to think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.