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Sports Illustrated Medal Predictions


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The medal picks aren't known yet but it's been reported that these are there medal tallies for the top 3 countries at the Vancouver games.

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Sports Illustrated predicts 30 Olympic medals for Canada, second behind Germany

February 02, 2010 5:34 p.m.

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Sports Illustrated is picking Canada to be second-best at this month's Olympics in Vancouver.

In its Feb. 8 edition, which hits newsstands Wednesday, the sports magazine projects the Canadian team to finish with 30 medals at the Games - 10 gold, 11 silver and nine bronze. Germany is predicted to lead the way with 35 medals, including 11 gold, 11 silver and 13 bronze.

Sports Illustrated thinks the Americans will finish third with 27 medals; seven gold, 10 silver and 10 bronze.

The Germans topped the medal count at the 2006 Olympics in Turin, Italy with 29 medals.

The Americans were second with 25, followed by the Canadians with 24.

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The only other time a country has finished above 30 medals, there was another to do it. Germany in 2002 and the Americans.

I think 35 is too high for the Germans, I don't think the loses in biathlon can be made up by their improvements in alpine skiing.

I also think that Canada will be the victim of American patriotism in these pikes, since Canada and the USA go head to head as medal favourites in men's aerials, women's moguls, men's 500m, 1000m, 1500m, relay speed skating, men's 500m, 1000m, 1500m and relay short track, men's and women's SBX, men's figure skating, ice dance and a few others I can't think of.

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Sports Illustrated’s Canadian Medal Picks

Silver – Manuel Osborne-Paradis, Men’s Downhill

Bronze – Kaillie Humphries and heather Moyse, Women’s 2-Man Bobsleigh

Silver – Canada, Men’s Curling

Gold – Canada, Women’s Curling

Silver – Patrick Chan, Men’s Figure Skating

Bronze – Joannie Rochette, Women’s Figure Skating

Silver – Tessa Virtue & Scott Moir, Ice Dance

Silver – Chris Del Bosco, Men’s Ski Cross

Gold – Jennifer Heil, Women’s Moguls

Silver – Ashleigh McIvor, Women’s Ski Cross

Bronze – Kelsey Serwa, Women’s Ski Cross

Gold – Ice Hockey, Men’s

Gold – Ice Hockey, Women’s

Bronze – Jon Montgomery, Men’s Skeleton

Silver – Mellisa Hollingsworth, Women’s Skeleton

Gold – Jasey-Jay Anderson, Men’s PGS

Gold – Maelle Ricker, Women’s SBX

Bronze – Denny Morrison, Men’s 1000m Speed Skating

Silver – Denny Morrison, Men’s 1500m Speed Skating

Bronze – Canada, Men’s Team Pursuit

Gold – Christine Nesbitt, Women’s 1000m Speed Skating

Gold – Christine Nesbitt, Women’s 1500m Speed Skating

Silver – Kristina Groves, Women’s 1500m Speed Skating

Bronze – Kristina Groves, Women’s 3000m Speed Skating

Gold – Canada, Women’s Team Pursuit

Gold – Charles Hamelin, Men’s 500m Short Track Speed Skating

Bronze – Charles Hamelin, Men’s 1000m Short Track Speed Skating

Silver – Canada, Men’s 5000m Relay, Short Track Speed Skating

Silver – Kalyna Roberge, 500m Short Track Speed Skating

Bronze – Canada, 3000m Relay, Short Track Speed Skating

I agree with or think they are in the ball park with every pick but Women's Ski Cross, I think Julia Murray is more likely to medal than Kelsey Serwa

Also I think they will be wrong about men's moguls and aerials, I think that Bilodeau (the world champion in dual moguls) will medal and Steve Omischl, despite the season will also medal.

Oh And men's figure skating. I am now not convinced

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I think the #2 spot for Canada is reasonable. They're strong in winter sport, though not quite as strong as the Germans, but the home-field advantage will definitely come in handy. Will Korea dominate speed skating like in Torino?

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I think the #2 spot for Canada is reasonable. They're strong in winter sport, though not quite as strong as the Germans, but the home-field advantage will definitely come in handy. Will Korea dominate speed skating like in Torino?

Overall, Canada is the strongest nation because we win medals at more sports. In Torino Canada won medals in 10 of 15 disciplines/sports, USA was next with 9 and Germany, Austria and Russia were in the 7 range.

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Overall, Canada is the strongest nation because we win medals at more sports. In Torino Canada won medals in 10 of 15 disciplines/sports, USA was next with 9 and Germany, Austria and Russia were in the 7 range.

The U.S. could actually expand on that list this year, they'll be sending real medal contenders in some of the Nordic events for the first time ever, especially in Nordic Combined and possibly Biathlon.

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The U.S. could actually expand on that list this year, they'll be sending real medal contenders in some of the Nordic events for the first time ever, especially in Nordic Combined and possibly Biathlon.

Nordic combined is unpredictable because of the 'team' aspect to the individual races. I have no idea what is going to happen at those events.

And you will have to make up for the probably loss of Curling as a medal sport for the USA. Just like Canada should gain Alpine Skiing but loss Cross Country Skiing.

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From a national point of view, I must like these predictions. They have included all German medal hopes. And honestly, I find them quite reasonable. I would change gold and silver in the nordic combined (Gold to the US and silver to Germany) and I am not so sure the gold in Womens Skeleton. Further, I find the 1-2 in Mens double in Luge a bit too optimistic.

In Biathlon they played with the German athletes. Jonsson and Olofsson-Zidek (both SWE) are the first candidates for gold. But Swedes used to fail when it matters, at least Magdalena Forsberg did at the Olympics, and the Germans are the first to succeed, not the Russians.

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Goethe you watch biathlon, you know that the Russian women will win individual medals and probably at least 3. Sweden will likely win 4 as well, so that leaves 5 left over for the rest of the field. The dominance it picks for Germany in women's biathlon is unreasonable. I doubt Norway will be held without a medal. I just can't see Germany winning 7 medals and Sweden winning the other 5. Norway and Russia will win medals. And how do you pick no individual Russian to win a medal but than the Russians to win relay gold. It seems counter-intuitive.

I think 5 is reasonable for Germany, you are correct in saying that Germans tend to raise to the occasion. Probably 5 for Sweden, 1 for Norway and 4 for Russia.

Edited by Faster
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@faster and canuckfan: Sry Guys maybe my post is misunderstandable. I talked solely about Womens Biathlon, not the Mens competition. All athletes will be better in Whistler. Still I think the Germans are superior to the Russian. I agree with SI about the relay though, but the individual events are a catfight between Sweden and Germany. Berger as an outside chance. Jonsson is such a good shooter!

At a second glance I find the German medals in Alpine Skiing too optimistic,too!

Edited by Goethe
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@faster and canuckfan: Sry Guys maybe my post is misunderstandable. I talked solely about Womens Biathlon, not the Mens competition. All athletes will be better in Whistler. Still I think the Germans are superior to the Russian. I agree with SI about the relay though, but the individual events are a catfight between Sweden and Germany. Berger as an outside chance. Jonsson is such a good shooter!

At a second glance I find the German medals in Alpine Skiing too optimistic,too!

I agree that Germany is probably overdone on Alpine medals, but that will be made up for in the sliding sports. Germany will dominate like no nation has before. I see them with 6 Luge medals (they will sweep Women's Luge), sweep the Golds in bobsled and put two other German teams on the podium for a total of 5 bobs medals. Futhermore, they will win 3 skeleton medals, possibly sweeping those golds, too. A total of 14 medals I see for Deutschland!

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