BTHarner Posted July 25, 2008 Report Share Posted July 25, 2008 SI is always a little patriotic with their predictions. They were way off in 1996 when they predicted something like 130 medals for the US. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
micheal_warren Posted July 25, 2008 Report Share Posted July 25, 2008 Interesting predictions: New Zealand is predicted to win 12 medals... 3 Gold, 7 Silver and 2 Bronze... This would be our best ever result in terms of total medals won since the 13 we won in seoul 1988! Fingers crossed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCD 2012 Posted July 25, 2008 Report Share Posted July 25, 2008 It predicts Singapore will win the silver in Woman Team Table Tennis which I hope is true ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guardian Posted July 25, 2008 Report Share Posted July 25, 2008 I think Canada will improve here from its "dismal" Athens 2004 overall performance. It will be a slow progression, but it will be a start. As for the big Olympic powers, I think it will be a "Cold War style" fight between China and the US for the top honor. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tanaka_Ray Posted July 25, 2008 Report Share Posted July 25, 2008 I just read the SI prediction like I said in another post, Indonesia biggest chance to get the gold is from badminton mixed double, although there is hope in man double but kido-hendra doesn't have a good mental, they usually fail in big competition, and for taufik hidayat, there are a lot of Indonesian who don't like him because he so arrogant, so we hope in double mixed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tanaka_Ray Posted July 25, 2008 Report Share Posted July 25, 2008 Wow, SI predicted that Indonesia'll won the gold on 56KG weightlifting hope that prediction is right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torchbearer AA Posted July 25, 2008 Report Share Posted July 25, 2008 Predictions for the Netherlands sounds very good. 7 gold, 5 silver and 16 bronze. Total: 28 medals. More total medals than in Sydney. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baron-pierreIV Posted July 25, 2008 Report Share Posted July 25, 2008 where did u guys find the 2008 SI predictions? I can't find it on SI.com. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
micheal_warren Posted July 25, 2008 Report Share Posted July 25, 2008 http://vault.sportsillustrated.cnn.com/vau...12/11/index.htm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JonnoInMelbourne Posted July 25, 2008 Report Share Posted July 25, 2008 SI is fairly accurate for Australia... 2004-SI predicted 19 Gold..We got 17 I remember 2000 also wasnt far off the mark. As for 2008 Gold :22 Silver 14 Bronze: 18 Total:54 That would easily be our most succesful Games... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baron-pierreIV Posted July 25, 2008 Report Share Posted July 25, 2008 http://vault.sportsillustrated.cnn.com/vau...12/11/index.htm Thanks, Michael. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
micheal_warren Posted July 25, 2008 Report Share Posted July 25, 2008 SI is fairly accurate for Australia...2004-SI predicted 19 Gold..We got 17 I remember 2000 also wasnt far off the mark. As for 2008 Gold :22 Silver 14 Bronze: 18 Total:54 That would easily be our most succesful Games... could be a golden games for the aussies! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
trebor204 Posted July 26, 2008 Report Share Posted July 26, 2008 I was able to extract the medal picks, place them into a spreadsheet, and calculate the total medals. The chart in SI seams to missing some figures, (ex No Silver for France) and my figures don't seem to match some of their totals. (China is listed as 49-28-25=102) Total............... 302 302 353 957 U.S................. 45 44 32 121 China............... 49 27 27 103 Russia.............. 27 29 22 78 Australia........... 22 14 19 55 Germany............. 15 17 17 49 France.............. 12 9 18 39 Great Britain....... 12 15 8 35 Cuba................ 11 5 13 29 Italy............... 7 11 10 28 Netherlands......... 7 5 16 28 Japan............... 6 8 12 26 South Korea......... 7 7 7 21 Spain............... 5 7 5 17 Belarus............. 9 1 6 16 Brazil.............. 5 3 7 15 Hungary............. 3 7 5 15 Canada.............. 2 4 9 15 Romania............. 2 5 7 14 Kenya............... 5 3 5 13 Poland.............. 2 2 9 13 Jamaica............. 4 6 2 12 New Zealand......... 3 7 2 12 Ukraine............. 1 5 6 12 Iran................ 2 1 8 11 Ethiopia............ 3 5 2 10 Georgia............. 3 2 4 9 Czech Republic...... 2 2 5 9 Bulgaria............ 1 5 3 9 Denmark............. 2 2 2 6 Serbia.............. 2 0 4 6 North Korea......... 1 2 3 6 Slovakia............ 1 2 3 6 Kazakhstan.......... 1 0 5 6 Taiwan.............. 1 3 1 5 Switzerland......... 1 2 2 5 Sweden.............. 1 1 3 5 Turkey.............. 0 3 2 5 Norway.............. 0 2 3 5 Indonesia........... 2 2 0 4 Azerbaijan.......... 2 0 2 4 Greece.............. 1 3 0 4 Croatia............. 1 1 2 4 Armenia............. 0 2 2 4 Thailand............ 0 2 2 4 Mexico.............. 0 1 3 4 Uzbekistan.......... 1 2 0 3 Argentina........... 1 1 1 3 Slovenia............ 1 1 1 3 South Africa........ 1 0 2 3 Zimbabwe............ 1 0 2 3 Austria............. 0 2 1 3 Egypt............... 1 1 0 2 Finland............. 1 0 1 2 Mongolia............ 1 0 1 2 Portugal............ 0 2 0 2 Bahamas............. 0 1 1 2 Hong Kong........... 0 1 1 2 Lithuania........... 0 1 1 2 Morocco............. 0 1 1 2 Puerto Rico......... 0 0 2 2 Tajikistan.......... 0 0 2 2 Bahrain............. 1 0 0 1 Cyprus.............. 1 0 0 1 Ecuador............. 1 0 0 1 Estonia............. 1 0 0 1 Panama.............. 1 0 0 1 San Marino.......... 1 0 0 1 Latvia.............. 0 1 0 1 Malaysia............ 0 1 0 1 Mali................ 0 1 0 1 Philippines......... 0 1 0 1 Singapore........... 0 1 0 1 Afghanistan......... 0 0 1 1 Belgium............. 0 0 1 1 Colombia............ 0 0 1 1 Dom. Republic....... 0 0 1 1 Ireland............. 0 0 1 1 Israel.............. 0 0 1 1 Kyrgyzstan.......... 0 0 1 1 Luxembourg.......... 0 0 1 1 Sudan............... 0 0 1 1 Trinidad & Tobago... 0 0 1 1 Vietnam............. 0 0 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
micheal_warren Posted July 26, 2008 Report Share Posted July 26, 2008 Thats for posting this. You beat me to it! I was planning on working on the same tally! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Citius Altius Fortius Posted July 26, 2008 Report Share Posted July 26, 2008 I wonder how the SI Medal picks fit with the real medals in the past - I mean in the events not in the number of medals... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Faster Posted July 26, 2008 Report Share Posted July 26, 2008 Better you than me, its a complete time drain to do this, I did it last time. I think they are about right with Germany, France, Italy, Japan and Korea, and than the countries that have 1 singular amazing chance at a medal. I think the Dutch, British and Aussies are too high, as well as the Americans and Chinese. The Russians could go either way, but I definitely see a decline in their medal table. Cuba is also very high, too high. I do hope the medal count for Canada is correct but if I was to make predictions for Canada Athletics Men's 800m - Gary Reed - Bronze Aquatics Men's 3m Springboard - Alexandre Despatie - Bronze Men's 3m Synchronized Springboard - Alexandre Despatie and Arturo Miranda - Silver Men's 100m freestyle - Brent Hayden - Bronze Men's 4x200m freestyle relay - bronze Canoe/Kayaking Men's K-1 500m - Adam van Koeverdan - Gold Men's K-1 1000m - Adam van Koeverdan - Gold Men's C-1 1000m - Thomas Hall - Bronze Cycling Women's Mountain Biking - Marie Helen Premont - Gold Equestrian Individual Show Jumping - Eric Lamaze - Silver Fencing Women's Foil - Luan Jujie - Bronze Gymanstics Men's Floor - Kyle Shewfelt - Bronze Women's Beam - Elyse Hopfner-Hibbs - Bronze Women's Trampoline - Karen Cockburn - Silver Rowing Men's Pairs - Scott Frandsen and Dave Calder - Silver Men's 8's - Gold Shooting Women's Trap - Susan Nattrass - Bronze Taekwondo Men's 80kg - Sebastien Michaud - Bronze Women's 67kg - Karine Sergerie - Gold 5 - Gold 4 - Silver 10 Bronze Completely wishful thinking, but the 5 gold medals are likely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tanaka_Ray Posted July 26, 2008 Report Share Posted July 26, 2008 Latest news from Indonesia squad, Taufik Hidayat MAYBE can't take a part in Beijing 2008, he got sick and must stay in hospital for about 2 weeks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Citius Altius Fortius Posted July 26, 2008 Report Share Posted July 26, 2008 I think about the methods how SI did this medal pick: - they take the previous results of every single event and compare the results of the participants and rank them - "gut instinct" by "shaky" events - personal taste is allegedly involved too Other ideas? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCD 2012 Posted July 26, 2008 Report Share Posted July 26, 2008 I disagree with SI on Ukraine and Japan. Ukraine is projected to 1 gold. Thats a big difference from 9 in Athens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dave199 Posted July 26, 2008 Author Report Share Posted July 26, 2008 Faster, don't you find it odd that SI isn't predicting atleast one medal out of either Diving or Swimming for Canada? Canada has always been contenders in diving throughout the past decade. I think they'll at least nab one medal in this discipline. I also predicted Canada would win 15 medals from a long time back. I see me and SI see eye to eye on this..hopefully the total will be higher, that's if our athletes don't choke like most did in Athens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Citius Altius Fortius Posted July 26, 2008 Report Share Posted July 26, 2008 I think you shouldn't take the "SI Medals Pick" too seriously - I am sure that they will be right in many results, but not in every result... It will be interesting to compare the real results with the SI Medal Pick after the end of the Beijing Olympics... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
micheal_warren Posted July 26, 2008 Report Share Posted July 26, 2008 I think you shouldn't take the "SI Medals Pick" too seriously - I am sure that they will be right in many results, but not in every result...It will be interesting to compare the real results with the SI Medal Pick after the end of the Beijing Olympics... it definately will be interesting! I hope to analyse this after the games... Time permitting! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JonnoInMelbourne Posted July 26, 2008 Report Share Posted July 26, 2008 Better you than me, its a complete time drain to do this, I did it last time. I think they are about right with Germany, France, Italy, Japan and Korea, and than the countries that have 1 singular amazing chance at a medal. I think the Dutch, British and Aussies are too high, The increase in the Australian tally over Athens is due to a stronger swim team.The womens especially are much stronger than 4 years ago with many more World Record holders than what we had in 2004.Most other sports...especially cycling have seen a downturn..... Personally I think Australia will probably get around 20 Gold and around 50 medals Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baron-pierreIV Posted July 26, 2008 Report Share Posted July 26, 2008 I was able to extract the medal picks, place them into a spreadsheet, and calculatethe total medals. The chart in SI seams to missing some figures, (ex No Silver for France) and my figures don't seem to match some of their totals. (China is listed as 49-28-25=102) Total............... 302 302 353 957 U.S................. 45 44 32 121 China............... 49 27 27 103 Russia.............. 27 29 22 78 Australia........... 22 14 19 55 Germany............. 15 17 17 49 France.............. 12 9 18 39 Great Britain....... 12 15 8 35 Cuba................ 11 5 13 29 Italy............... 7 11 10 28 Netherlands......... 7 5 16 28 Japan............... 6 8 12 26 South Korea......... 7 7 7 21 Spain............... 5 7 5 17 Belarus............. 9 1 6 16 Brazil.............. 5 3 7 15 Hungary............. 3 7 5 15 Canada.............. 2 4 9 15 Romania............. 2 5 7 14 Kenya............... 5 3 5 13 Poland.............. 2 2 9 13 Jamaica............. 4 6 2 12 New Zealand......... 3 7 2 12 Ukraine............. 1 5 6 12 Iran................ 2 1 8 11 Ethiopia............ 3 5 2 10 Georgia............. 3 2 4 9 Czech Republic...... 2 2 5 9 Bulgaria............ 1 5 3 9 Denmark............. 2 2 2 6 Serbia.............. 2 0 4 6 North Korea......... 1 2 3 6 Slovakia............ 1 2 3 6 Kazakhstan.......... 1 0 5 6 Taiwan.............. 1 3 1 5 Switzerland......... 1 2 2 5 Sweden.............. 1 1 3 5 Turkey.............. 0 3 2 5 Norway.............. 0 2 3 5 Indonesia........... 2 2 0 4 Azerbaijan.......... 2 0 2 4 Greece.............. 1 3 0 4 Croatia............. 1 1 2 4 Armenia............. 0 2 2 4 Thailand............ 0 2 2 4 Mexico.............. 0 1 3 4 Uzbekistan.......... 1 2 0 3 Argentina........... 1 1 1 3 Slovenia............ 1 1 1 3 South Africa........ 1 0 2 3 Zimbabwe............ 1 0 2 3 Austria............. 0 2 1 3 Egypt............... 1 1 0 2 Finland............. 1 0 1 2 Mongolia............ 1 0 1 2 Portugal............ 0 2 0 2 Bahamas............. 0 1 1 2 Hong Kong........... 0 1 1 2 Lithuania........... 0 1 1 2 Morocco............. 0 1 1 2 Puerto Rico......... 0 0 2 2 Tajikistan.......... 0 0 2 2 Bahrain............. 1 0 0 1 Cyprus.............. 1 0 0 1 Ecuador............. 1 0 0 1 Estonia............. 1 0 0 1 Panama.............. 1 0 0 1 San Marino.......... 1 0 0 1 Latvia.............. 0 1 0 1 Malaysia............ 0 1 0 1 Mali................ 0 1 0 1 Philippines......... 0 1 0 1 Singapore........... 0 1 0 1 Afghanistan......... 0 0 1 1 Belgium............. 0 0 1 1 Colombia............ 0 0 1 1 Dom. Republic....... 0 0 1 1 Ireland............. 0 0 1 1 Israel.............. 0 0 1 1 Kyrgyzstan.......... 0 0 1 1 Luxembourg.......... 0 0 1 1 Sudan............... 0 0 1 1 Trinidad & Tobago... 0 0 1 1 Vietnam............. 0 0 1 1 Something's VERY OFF in that table. Waziristan is expected tot take 325 golds. YOu only have 302 golds. You're way off, baby. Gotta recalculate those totals, babe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chateau Petrus Posted July 26, 2008 Report Share Posted July 26, 2008 Something's VERY OFF in that table. Waziristan is expected tot take 325 golds. YOu only have 302 golds. You're way off, baby. Gotta recalculate those totals, babe. Baron If I find a Waziristan NOC pin, it will be a pleasure for me to buy and send it to you by mail. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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