You mean how much does the IOC value the objectively verifiable aspects of a bid (compactness, sustainability, transportation/logistics, safety and security, financial support, local engagement)?
If the IOC decides to send the games somewhere, clearly that's what they'll do regardless.
But don't forget to attach a few billion dollars in defense and oil contracts - assuming you have them to give out.
If not and another city has them - Can't Japan find another use for $70 million?
CHItown '16