As a Brisbane based politics nut even i struggle to see where this is going. Sure the north and west traditionally vote conservative, but it;s the city seats where the election is won, and given whats happened in Qld with the last few elections i would not call it at all. There is no mood for change. no one has the baseball bats out like we did for Bligh and especially Newman.
Theres also next to no election advertising at the moment (there was a Frekington billboard around the corner from me for about a week and than it was pulled down) meaning a good chunk of voters are not even thinking about state politics at the moment - and the current instablity in the LNP can't be heaping there case but would not be reflected in any polls released anyway