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Showing content with the highest reputation on 02/21/20 in all areas

  1. Innsbruck hosted in 1964 and 1976 with an interval of only 12 years, but that was due to Denver refusing to host after being selected. St. Moritz hosted with only a 20 year interval between 1928 and 1948, but that was in another age. In the current environment with the IOC preaching the re-use of existing venues who can say how they would react to Vancouver hosting again so soon after 2010. The other side is much more interesting. Why would Vancouver want to host again? It is a truly herculean effort to host, and you don't gain as much economic or PR benefit from hosting as boosters think. So would Vancouver actually be up for hosting again?
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  2. Don't want to be a Debbie Downer, but if you were planning to attend the Tokyo Olympics, you need to diligently follow what's going on with this coronavirus. The Japanese government is simply putting face-saving and bureaucratic process ahead of public health. Failure to close borders to Chinese early, misguided testing, and now the Diamond Princess debacle. If you have not seen this video yet, you should....not so much for the situation on the cruise ship....but for the governmental mindset. Given the number of new cases in Japan that have nothing to do with the Diamond Princess cruise ship nor with direct linkages to China, it's pretty clear that secondary and further transmission is going on in the community, and seems to be accelerating. In a densely-packed country like Japan, and with 25% of the population over 65, this is not a good thing. I predict that in about 3-4 weeks time, China might be a safer place to be (except Hubei) than Japan. Draconian lockdowns and quarantines do work, even at great economic and personal liberty cost. If you were going to the Games but haven't yet made flight/accommodation arrangements, you might want to hold off for awhile and see how this thing goes. I lived through SARS, and this in many ways is much worse and certainly promises to be more disruptive for a longer period of time. By the way, I wouldn't put a lot of stock in the theory that this virus may disappear with warmer weather. Singapore is warm all year, and they are currrently having to put up a mightly battle to try to stop the community transmission that is now occurring there.
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