44 replies to this topic

[Kenadian]

Brazil has one of the world's largest populations, one of its fastest growing economies, and in a few days, it will receive the Olympic flag from the Great Britain as host of the next Olympic Games.

So looking ahead through the next four years how will they fare on the podium at the Rio 2016 Games and what is the country doing to ensure they have a stellar performance on the medal table? We always see a host boost in medals - Spain almost matched their all-time medal haul to date at the 1992 Barcelona Games; Australia jumped up into the Top 10 for several Games in the build up and as a legacy to Sydney 2000; and even the much maligned (and gold-less) 1976 Games of Montreal proved to be Canada's largest medal haul to date since the 1932 Los Angeles Games.

While Brazil is not a traditional Olympic medal power, it has made improvements on that record. Starting with the 1996 Games in Atlanta, they have improved their score from their previous average of 0-3 medals prior to the 1980s and 4-8 average during the 1980s.

This table from Wikipedia shows their performance at the previous 4 Olympiads and currently in London (end of Day 12) they have 10 medals, one of them, a gold, that was the first ever in gymnastics in the country and Latin America.

Olympics | G | S | B | T | Rank
1996 Atlanta | 3 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 25
2000 Sydney | 0 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 53
2004 Athens | 5 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 16
2008 Beijing | 3 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 23

So what can we expect in 2016 when Rio de Janeiro plays host to the Games of the XXXI Olympiad?

Edited by Kenadian, 09 August 2012 - 02:10 AM.

[DannyelBrazil]

Brazil have already 2 golds and have more 4 medals guaranteed (still to know which color in the next days)

Brazil may finish these games with 14-15 medals, 3 or 4 golds.

Yet, a poor performance ahead 2016, but. Most of our high-perfomance athletes in London are retiring (Cielo, Men Volleyball, Women Volleyball, Women Soccer) and some young talents already are showing good evolution...
I expect 20 medals in 2016, 7-9 golds

[intoronto]

I think something like Greece in 2004 or slightly better.

[munichfan]

Brazil have already 2 golds

Kenadian's "one of them, a gold" was surely not meant as their total number of golds but just was related to their gold in Gymnastics.

[DannyelBrazil]

Kenadian's "one of them, a gold" was surely not meant as their total number of golds but just was related to their gold in Gymnastics.

So, it's right...

Brazil already achieved 15 medals, Men Volleyball can guaratee 16th this friday in the semifinals...
If Brazilian Men Volleyball win a medal, it'll be our best participation in terms of total count.

[Triffle]

I'm tipping Brazil will shake up the status quo for the world's top 10 sporting powers (US, GB, France, Germany, Italy, Russia, China, Korea, Japan, Australia) in the medium term future. I feel as though Brazilians have had a larger presence at the Games in finals than I've previously noticed, perhaps that's just been a fluke. even if they're not converting to more medals yet, I think Brazil has the right formula to become a sporting power over the next couple decades.

[DannyelBrazil]

Brazil is like an elephant... Moves really slowly...

We have been witnessing more investment in sports in the last 20 years and also better results.
The number of finals is really an indicative Brazil grew in Olympic Games.
And more, now we have some "individual sports" national heroes. It's a thing hard to believe few years ago.

I think the place for Brazil in a medium term is to be one of the Top-Ten in Gold counts... This can be achieved in the 2028, 2032 games.
And this would be amazing for a country like ours.

[DannyelBrazil]

---

Brazil already got 15 medals and tomorow will be a thrilling day for us!

Finals for:
- Female Volleyball
- Male Football
- Boxe Mens 75Kg

And today we have two more semifinals
- Men Volleyball
- Boxe Mens 81Kg

WOW!!!

It's still possible to achieve Top-15... yeah, too much lucky for that...

[Victor Mata]

You may have noticed Brazil is a country of team sports. This is a cultural trait and also the result of lack of infrastructure and tradition on individual sports. Football, Volleyball - indoor and beach -, Handball, Basketball, are regular in virtually every school games and that's it: the public funds for sports is very, very badly used to discover new talents and build and sustain athletes from other sports other than the those of the school curriculum.

We have some ground in swimming and judo but they're pretty much "middle-class" sports parents usually put their kids on and most never reach national competitions or quit to focus on high school. Equestrian and sailing are for the 'filthy rich' and that's pretty much our sports outline and our medal formula...

I'm afraid we won't see much improvement in 4 years time. Not before the Olympic Training Center is put to good use and similar venues become common place all around the country.

[DannyelBrazil]

Perfect analysis, but some have been done lately.
Indeed, people and government are discussing the Brazilian sport more and more.

In 4 years we will have some advantage as home team, and probably get better results. The goal is to keep the evolution in Istanbul (?) 2020...
I see the programs Govt is doing will bring us some results in 8 to 12 years...

Let's wait 'n see