826 replies to this topic

[deawebo]

Chicago 2024

[Athensfan]

deawebo, on 25 August 2011 - 08:02 PM, said:

Chicago 2024

AMEN!!!

[Soaring]

deawebo, on 25 August 2011 - 08:02 PM, said:

Chicago 2024

Second amen. Although I am very mixed about any US city entering a race against an African bid...

Edited by Soaring, 25 August 2011 - 10:18 PM.

[baron-pierreIV]

/\ Silly geese. A 2022-2032 or a 2026-2036 certainly is very possible. I don't see why not.

[Athensfan]

Soaring, on 25 August 2011 - 10:18 PM, said:

Second amen. Although I am very mixed about any US city entering a race against an African bid...

The only thing you can say is that we've got 4 years to work out a strategy. I think you are right to suggest that the US develop plans for 2024 and wait to see what happens with South Africa. 2028 would be the backup plan.

[Barcelona_'92]

I could see the 2024 race shaping up like the 1996 race. Most people assumed that Athens would win the 96 Games, which kept other strong European bids out of the race. When it became obvious that Athens wasn't capable of hosting, Atlanta was able to capitalize. If a European city wins 2020 (and 2022), I think few, if any, European cities will bid for 2024. (Paris can try, but they won't get a third European Games in a row.) That would leave an Asian city, possibly a Middle Eastern city, and a U.S. city to challenge a Durban bid. There's no guarantee that Durban will be capable of hosting, and a strong U.S. bid could capitalize and win. I know Durban only needs to present an acceptable bid and not an excellent one to win, but I question whether they'll even be able to produce an acceptable bid at all.

[baron-pierreIV]

Barcelona_'92, on 26 August 2011 - 05:53 AM, said:

, but I question whether they'll even be able to produce an acceptable bid at all.

They (SASOC and the city of Durban) were ready to go this year except Pretoria decided to hold back, justifiably so, the purse strings. So how can they be less ready in another 4 (or actually 6 years) when the vote is held in 2017? So, you think they will let 3rd graders run the bid?

[Athensfan]

Barcelona_'92, on 26 August 2011 - 05:53 AM, said:

I could see the 2024 race shaping up like the 1996 race. Most people assumed that Athens would win the 96 Games, which kept other strong European bids out of the race. When it became obvious that Athens wasn't capable of hosting, Atlanta was able to capitalize. If a European city wins 2020 (and 2022), I think few, if any, European cities will bid for 2024. (Paris can try, but they won't get a third European Games in a row.) That would leave an Asian city, possibly a Middle Eastern city, and a U.S. city to challenge a Durban bid. There's no guarantee that Durban will be capable of hosting, and a strong U.S. bid could capitalize and win. I know Durban only needs to present an acceptable bid and not an excellent one to win, but I question whether they'll even be able to produce an acceptable bid at all.

Very intelligently argued. I think there's a high probability that Europe will win both 2020 and 2022 (whether or not the USOC makes the mistake of taking the bait). That would effectively eliminate Europe from consideration for 2024 -- unless it's Istanbul 2020, in which case they might say to themselves, "well, it's not THAT European....."

[Ace]

I don't see the U.S. bidding for 2024 with South Africa bidding. I see 2024 being like the 2020 race, only 3 or 4 bidders. You can almost book it that SA will win.

[baron-pierreIV]

Ace, on 26 August 2011 - 01:57 PM, said:

I don't see the U.S. bidding for 2024 with South Africa bidding. I see 2024 being like the 2020 race, only 3 or 4 bidders. You can almost book it that SA will win.

Exactly, Doha, Dubai, Durban and Ulan Bator!!